Censored demand
A stockout appears as weak sales and pushes the next forecast lower.
Industries · FMCG & consumer goods
Keep service high without teaching the forecast your stockouts.
Consumer demand moves by SKU, channel, geography and event. Recorded sales alone understate demand whenever stock was unavailable. SIAARU separates the signal from the constraint, then connects the corrected demand view to inventory placement and replenishment.
“Which SKUs are likely to stock out next week, and which forecast periods are distorted by lost sales?”
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Nine SKU-location pairs need review. Two demand periods were censored by stockouts, four transfers can protect service, and three replenishments require approval. Each recommendation shows the sellable days and source movements used.
Source rows attachedApproval requiredOutcome rechecked
01 — What the operation exposes
The pattern behind the daily fire drill.
Channel blindness
Distributor and retailer stock is late, incomplete or mixed with owned inventory.
Ageing versus availability
The network holds excess stock while the selling location is empty.
Event-driven volatility
Promotion and festival effects arrive faster than static parameters change.
02 — SIAARU's response
From fragmented signal to governed action.
Nerve does not replace the operating system of record. It connects the dependency, prices the consequence and moves one evidence-backed decision to the correct owner.
True demand
Replays stock movements to identify periods where recorded sales were constrained by availability.
Channel view
Keeps reported, unreported and zero stock as three separate operational states.
Stock optimisation
Calculates safety stock and reorder points from demand and lead-time variability.
Ageing action
Ranks dead and slow-moving stock by working capital and the downstream demand still attached.
03 — Decision flow
One change. One traceable chain of consequence.
Every result remains illustrative until it is computed from the client's own approved data. No benchmark or customer outcome is implied.
- 01Sales and stock signals arrive
- 02Censored periods are identified
- 03Transfer and buy options are compared
- 04Planner approves and service is rechecked
04 — Capabilities
The modules behind demand, freshness and service in one decision.
05 — Control boundary
Autonomous attention.
Accountable execution.
Bring one real constraint
See FMCG & consumer goods decisions
on your operating data.
Start with a CSV export or a read-only connection. We will map one decision from signal through approval and verification.